The world is gradually coming to an end due to global warming. An important global temperature threshold is expected to be exceeded in the next five years. A large study by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) found that by 2025, there is a 40 percent chance that any year will be 1.5 degrees warmer than pre-industrial levels. The realization of this situation will bring with it the rapid increase of the average temperatures in the world and various environmental disasters.
The analysis is based on modeling by climate researchers in 10 countries, including the UK Meteorological Office (Met Office), the USA and China.
In the last decade, it was estimated that there is only a 20 percent chance of reaching the 1.5 degree threshold in any given year. This new assessment puts this risk at 40 percent.
The regulations set by the Paris Climate Agreement envisaged keeping global warming below 2 degrees and the border target to be 1.5 degrees.
Leon Hermanson, a senior scientist at the Met Office, stated that the projected temperatures showed a clear increase compared to those in 1850-1900, “This means that we are approaching the 1.5 degree limit, we are not there yet, but we are getting closer to the powerful action we need now. “Running out for time,” he said.
On the other hand, scientists pointed out that even if the pre-industrial level is 1.5 degrees above in one five years, it will be a temporary situation. After this threshold is exceeded, the researchers said, the next few years could be slightly cooler, and another decade could pass before permanently vaccinating the 1.5 degree limit.
The report of the climate panel organized by the United Nations in 2018 revealed that if global warming exceeds 1.5 degrees, its impact on climate change will be enormous. Accordingly, despite the recent government promises of cuts in greenhouse gas emissions, the world is facing a 3 degree global warming by 2050.
Professor Petteri Taalas, secretary general of the World Meteorological Organization, stated that the results of the new research are “more than just statistics.” This study shows that our high level of scientific skills are measurable and relentlessly approaching the sub-objective of the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Another wake-up call that the world should quickly follow up on its commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and achieve carbon neutrality ”.
On the other hand, the report will be presented at the COP26 summit on climate change in Glasgow, Scotland in November. The summit aims to increase willingness among world leaders to tackle the climate crisis.